Records · Women's national teams
The biggest upsets in women's international football history
Every one of the 11,584 women's internationals from 23 September 1956 to 13 October 2026, ranked by how unlikely the result looked beforehand: the winner's chance of winning, from Formline's ratings on the day. Both teams had to have played enough recent matches for the model to know them well, so sides with little history are left out.
| 1 | Zambia 3–2 Germany Friendly · 7 July 2023 | <1% |
| 2 | Czechia 2–1 Spain UEFA Women's Euro qualification · 12 July 2024 | 3% |
| 3 | Venezuela 2–1 Brazil Friendly · 4 March 2026 | 4% |
| 4 | Malawi 3–2 Nigeria Women's Africa Cup of Nations · 28 July 2026 | 4% |
| 5 | Mexico 2–1 USA CONCACAF Women's Gold Cup · 5 November 2010 | 4% |
| 6 | South Africa 1–0 Japan Friendly · 9 June 2026 | 4% |
| 7 | Canada 3–0 USA Algarve Cup · 11 March 2001 | 4% |
| 8 | Portugal 2–1 USA Friendly · 23 October 2025 | 4% |
| 9 | China PR 1–0 USA Friendly · 17 December 2015 | 4% |
| 10 | Panama 1–0 Australia Friendly · 5 July 2025 | 4% |
| 11 | Kazakhstan 1–0 Belarus FIFA Women's World Cup qualification · 18 April 2026 | 4% |
| 12 | Australia 1–0 Germany Four Nations Tournament · 28 January 2005 | 5% |
| 13 | Iceland 3–2 Germany FIFA Women's World Cup qualification · 20 October 2017 | 5% |
| 14 | Mexico 2–1 Brazil International Tournament · 13 December 2012 | 5% |
| 15 | Portugal 2–1 Australia Algarve Cup · 7 March 2018 | 5% |
| 16 | Denmark 5–3 USA Algarve Cup · 10 March 2014 | 5% |
| 17 | Republic of Ireland 3–1 France UEFA Women's Euro qualification · 16 July 2024 | 5% |
| 18 | Colombia 2–1 Germany FIFA Women's World Cup · 30 July 2023 | 5% |
| 19 | Poland 3–0 Spain Algarve Cup · 1 March 2019 | 5% |
| 20 | New Zealand 1–0 England Friendly · 1 June 2019 | 6% |
| 21 | Denmark 1–0 Brazil International Tournament · 15 December 2011 | 6% |
| 22 | Italy 1–0 Germany Algarve Cup · 14 March 2007 | 6% |
| 23 | Northern Ireland 1–0 Italy Friendly · 15 November 2022 | 6% |
| 24 | Poland 1–0 Netherlands Algarve Cup · 4 March 2019 | 6% |
| 25 | Denmark 3–1 USA Friendly · 6 November 2004 | 6% |
| 26 | Argentina 1–0 Canada Friendly · 9 April 2025 | 6% |
| 27 | Zambia 2–1 Chile Friendly · 28 November 2020 | 7% |
| 28 | Ukraine 1–0 Sweden FIFA Women's World Cup qualification · 12 June 2018 | 7% |
| 29 | Slovenia 3–1 Ukraine Istria Cup · 2 March 2019 | 7% |
| 30 | Switzerland 1–0 Sweden UEFA Women's Nations League · 1 December 2023 | 7% |
The percentage is the winner's chance before kick-off.
Biggest wins · Longest winning and unbeaten runs · Every country's best-ever team · FIFA ranking vs Formline · Men's biggest upsets · All records
Ratings and chances are Formline's, worked out from every international result in the open archives maintained by Mart Jürisoo (CC0), with recent results from API-Football. In the runs, a match settled on penalties counts as a draw. Every source is listed on Sources & thanks.