Tournament simulator · Men's national teams
World Cup 2022 — rewind
Qatar, 20 November to 18 December 2022 · already played
Formline played the whole Rewind: World Cup 2022 10,000 times, using its ratings from the day before kick-off and the results already in. Brazil won it in 24% of them.
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Chances of winning it
| Team | Round of 16 | Winner |
| Brazil | 93% | 24% |
| Argentina | 94% | 14% |
| Spain | 87% | 10% |
| France | 85% | 9% |
| Netherlands | 89% | 8% |
| Belgium | 85% | 7% |
| Portugal | 85% | 6% |
| England | 81% | 4% |
| Germany | 75% | 4% |
| Denmark | 75% | 4% |
| Uruguay | 69% | 2% |
| Croatia | 66% | 2% |
| Switzerland | 53% | 1% |
| Serbia | 46% | 1% |
| Poland | 53% | 1% |
| Wales | 44% | <1% |
| IR Iran | 42% | <1% |
| Ecuador | 47% | <1% |
| Mexico | 40% | <1% |
| Senegal | 34% | <1% |
| Korea Republic | 35% | <1% |
| USA | 33% | <1% |
| Morocco | 30% | <1% |
| Japan | 27% | <1% |
| Qatar | 30% | <1% |
| Australia | 21% | <1% |
| Canada | 19% | <1% |
| Tunisia | 20% | 0% |
| Saudi Arabia | 13% | 0% |
| Costa Rica | 11% | 0% |
| Cameroon | 8% | 0% |
| Ghana | 11% | 0% |
Simulated with the ratings as they stood the day before the tournament, then compared with what happened.
All teams · Match predictions · Head to head
Results from the open archives maintained by Mart Jürisoo (CC0), with recent results and fixtures from API-Football. Every source is listed on Sources & thanks.