Formline

Tournament simulator · Women's national teams

Women's World Cup 2023 — rewind

Australia and New Zealand, 20 July to 20 August 2023 · already played

Formline played the whole Rewind: Women's World Cup 2023 10,000 times, using its ratings from the day before kick-off and the results already in. USA won it in 19% of them.

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Chances of winning it
TeamRound of 16Winner
USA95%19%
France99%18%
England96%14%
Germany99%14%
Spain99%11%
Sweden97%8%
Netherlands87%5%
Brazil95%3%
Australia86%2%
Canada80%1%
Norway95%1%
Japan92%1%
Denmark72%1%
Italy78%<1%
Korea Republic55%<1%
Portugal17%<1%
Switzerland77%0%
China PR30%0%
Republic of Ireland23%0%
New Zealand26%0%
Colombia42%0%
Argentina16%0%
Nigeria11%0%
South Africa9%0%
Costa Rica6%0%
Morocco4%0%
Jamaica4%0%
Zambia4%0%
Philippines2%0%
Haiti2%0%
Panama2%0%
Vietnam1%0%

Simulated with the ratings as they stood the day before the tournament, then compared with what happened.

All teams · Match predictions · Head to head

Results from the open archives maintained by Mart Jürisoo (CC0), with recent results and fixtures from API-Football. Every source is listed on Sources & thanks.