Tournament simulator · Men's national teams
Euro 2024 — rewind
Germany, 14 June to 14 July 2024 · already played
Formline played the whole Rewind: Euro 2024 10,000 times, using its ratings from the day before kick-off and the results already in. Spain won it in 18% of them.
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| Team | Round of 16 | Winner |
| Spain | 96% | 18% |
| France | 92% | 15% |
| England | 95% | 14% |
| Germany | 94% | 11% |
| Portugal | 96% | 10% |
| Belgium | 97% | 10% |
| Netherlands | 84% | 7% |
| Italy | 84% | 5% |
| Switzerland | 78% | 2% |
| Croatia | 75% | 2% |
| Denmark | 77% | 2% |
| Austria | 57% | 1% |
| Ukraine | 76% | 1% |
| Serbia | 54% | <1% |
| Türkiye | 66% | <1% |
| Hungary | 51% | <1% |
| Poland | 35% | <1% |
| Czechia | 62% | <1% |
| Scotland | 43% | <1% |
| Slovenia | 41% | <1% |
| Slovakia | 50% | <1% |
| Georgia | 40% | 0% |
| Albania | 17% | 0% |
| Romania | 38% | 0% |
Six groups of four; the top two and the four best third-placed teams reach the last 16. Simulated with the ratings as they stood the day before the tournament, then compared with what happened. Germany have home advantage; every other match is neutral. Which group winner meets which third-placed team follows UEFA's rules, though not always its exact table.
All teams · Match predictions · Head to head
Results from the open archives maintained by Mart Jürisoo (CC0), with recent results and fixtures from API-Football. Every source is listed on Sources & thanks.