Formline

Tournament simulator · Men's national teams

Copa América 2024 — rewind

United States, 20 June to 14 July 2024 · already played

Formline played the whole Rewind: Copa América 2024 10,000 times, using its ratings from the day before kick-off and the results already in. Argentina won it in 43% of them.

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Chances of winning it
TeamQuarter-finalsWinner
Argentina95%43%
Brazil90%22%
Colombia83%13%
Uruguay90%8%
Ecuador73%4%
USA83%3%
Mexico62%2%
Chile42%1%
Venezuela53%1%
Peru32%1%
Canada30%1%
Paraguay22%<1%
Panama18%<1%
Costa Rica5%0%
Bolivia9%0%
Jamaica13%0%

The ten CONMEBOL sides and six from CONCACAF, in four groups of four; the top two reach the quarter-finals. Simulated with the ratings as they stood the day before the tournament, then compared with what happened. The United States have home advantage; every other match is neutral.

All teams · Match predictions · Head to head

Results from the open archives maintained by Mart Jürisoo (CC0), with recent results and fixtures from API-Football. Every source is listed on Sources & thanks.