Tournament simulator · Men's national teams
CONCACAF Nations League 2026–27, League A knockouts
Two-legged quarter-finals 9–17 November 2026; Finals in Los Angeles, March 2027 · not started yet
Formline played the whole CONCACAF Nations League A 10,000 times, using its ratings and the results already in. Mexico won it in 40% of them.
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| Team | Quarter-finals | Winner |
| Mexico | 100% | 40% |
| USA | 100% | 26% |
| Canada | 100% | 22% |
| Panama | 100% | 9% |
| Haiti | 100% | 1% |
| Jamaica | 100% | 1% |
| Guatemala | 100% | 1% |
| Curaçao | 100% | <1% |
Mexico, the United States, Canada and Panama went straight to the quarter-finals; the other eight came through two groups of six, and the top two of each join them. Quarter-finals are two legs, the seeded side at home second; the four winners qualify for the 2027 Gold Cup. The semi-final pairings shown here (Mexico or Jamaica against Panama or Curaçao) are an assumption until Concacaf confirms the bracket, and the Finals are treated as neutral.
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Results from the open archives maintained by Mart Jürisoo (CC0), with recent results and fixtures from API-Football. Every source is listed on Sources & thanks.