Tournament simulator · Men's national teams
Africa Cup of Nations 2027 qualifiers
Twelve groups of four, home and away: matchdays 3–4 on 9–17 November 2026, 5–6 on 22–30 March 2027 · in progress
Formline played the whole AFCON 2027 qualifiers 10,000 times, using its ratings and the results already in. Morocco qualified in 100% of them.
Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania qualify as hosts.
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| Kenya | 100% |
| Tanzania | 100% |
| Uganda | 100% |
| Morocco | 100% |
| Senegal | 99% |
| Congo DR | 99% |
| Côte d'Ivoire | 99% |
| Mali | 98% |
| Algeria | 98% |
| Egypt | 96% |
| Cameroon | 96% |
| Angola | 91% |
| Burkina Faso | 88% |
| South Africa | 86% |
| Gambia | 86% |
| Benin | 81% |
| Mozambique | 73% |
| Rwanda | 72% |
| Gabon | 71% |
| Tunisia | 66% |
| Nigeria | 66% |
| Zambia | 65% |
| Comoros | 62% |
| Zimbabwe | 53% |
| Equatorial Guinea | 43% |
| Namibia | 32% |
| Guinea-Bissau | 31% |
| Mauritania | 28% |
| Cabo Verde | 27% |
| Togo | 24% |
| Niger | 22% |
| Sudan | 20% |
| Botswana | 19% |
| Ghana | 15% |
| Libya | 15% |
| Burundi | 13% |
| Guinea | 13% |
| Malawi | 12% |
| Congo | 11% |
| Ethiopia | 8% |
| Lesotho | 7% |
| Sierra Leone | 5% |
| Madagascar | 4% |
| Central African Republic | 3% |
| Liberia | 3% |
| Eritrea | 1% |
| South Sudan | 1% |
| Somalia | <1% |
Twelve groups of four, home and away; the September and October results are taken from the data and fixed, and the November and March matchdays are simulated. The top two in each group qualify for the finals in Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania. The three hosts are already through and play their groups anyway: in groups D, H and L the host and the best of the other three qualify, so 24 teams go through. Ties are broken by head-to-head results, as CAF does.
All teams · Match predictions · Head to head
Results from the open archives maintained by Mart Jürisoo (CC0), with recent results and fixtures from API-Football. Every source is listed on Sources & thanks.